Sunday, March 04, 2018

Oscar Watch 2018!

I set out to watch 39 of the the nominated movies for this year's Academy Awards, and I was able to see 36 of them!  I don't think I could have done it without my MoviePass subscription!

Here is my run down of who I'd like to win each of the categories. I do not recommend using any of this to fill out any Oscar-watch Ballots though. I pay zero attention to reviews/buzz, so although I also give predictions, they are largely meaningless.
**Please forgive misspellings of names, of which I'm sure there are more than a few!
**Also my not wanting someone to win doesn't mean I think they did a bad job; just that they aren't who I want to take home the award for some reason or another.
**I did not list the super technical categories because I really don't have an opinion on them this year!



Best Picture: 

Want to Win: Get Out or Lady Bird
Would be fine if they won: I, Tonya, Shape of Water, 3 Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Don't Want to Win: Dunkirk, Darkest Hour, Call Me By Your Name, Phantom Thread, The Post.
Who I think will win: probably someone from my "don't want to win" list.

Best Animated Picture:
Out of the 4 I saw,  Coco is the clear winner here. I don't see how any of the others can beat it.
Other animated movies: Ferdinand, Boss Baby, Loving Vincent, Breadwinner (Sadly, I didn't get to see this one!)
Who I think will win: Coco

Best Documentary:
I saw 4/5 of these as well. Abacus: Small Enough to Jail has my vote. I also really like Strong Island.
Other nominated Documentaries: Icarus, Last Men In Aleppo, and Faces Places (I didn't see this one).
Who I think will win: Strong Island or Last Men In Aleppo

Best Actor: 
Want to Win: Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)
Would be fine if they won: Denzel Washington (Roman J. Isreal, Esq), Timothee Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name)
Don't Want to Win: Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour), Daniel Day Lewis (Phantom Thread)
Who I think will win: Daniel Day Lewis

Best Actress:Want to Win: Frances McDormand (3 Billboards), Saorise Ronan (LadyBird), or Margot Robbie (I, Tonya)
Would be fine if they won: Sally Hawkins (Shape of Water), Meryl Streep (The Post)
Don't Want to Win: n/a
Who I think will win: Frances McDormand

Supporting Actor:
Want to Win: Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)
Would be fine if they won: Richard Jenkins (Shape of Water), Sam Rockwell (3 Billboards), Woody Harrelson (3 Billboards)
Don't Want to Win: Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World) -- only because I didn't see it.
Who I Think Will Win: Richard Jenkins or Sam Rockwell

Supporting Actress:
Want To Win: Allison Janney (I, Tonya), Laurie Metcalf (LadyBird), Octavia Spencer (Shape of Water)
Fine If They Win: Mary J. Blige (Mudbound), Lesley Manville (Phantom Thread)
Don't Want to Win: n/a
Who I think Will Win: Allison Janney

Director:
Want To Win: Jordon Peele (Get Out) or Greta Gerwig (Ladybird)
Fine If They Win: Guillermo del Toro (Shape of Water)
Don't Want to Win: Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk), Paul Thomas Anderson (Phantom Thread)
Who I think Will Win: Guillermo del Toro (Shape of Water)

Adapted Screenplay:
Want To Win: Aaron Sorkin (Molly's Game)
Fine If They Win: Virgil Williams & Dee Rees (Mudbound)
Don't Want to Win: James Ivory (Call Me By Your Name), Scott Frank & James Magold & Michael Green (Logan), Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber (Disaster Artist)
Who I think Will Win: Aaron Sorkin (Molly's Game)

Original Screenplay: 
Want To Win: Jordan Peele (Get Out) or Greta Gerwig (Ladybird)
Fine If They Win: Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani (The Big Sick)
Don't Want to Win: Guillermo del Toro (Shape of Water), Martin McDonagh (3 Billboards)
Who I think Will Win: Martin McDonagh (3 Billboards)

Cinematography:
Want To Win: Shape of Water or Mudbound
Fine If They Win: Dunkirk
Don't Want to Win: BladRunner 2049, Darkest Hour,
Who I think Will Win: Shape of Water

Orig Score:
Want To Win: Phantom Thread (Jonny Greenwood) or Shape of Water (Alexandre Desplat)
Fine If They Win: Dunkirk (Hans Zimmer), Three Billboards (Carter Burwell)
Don't Want to Win: Star Wars: Last Jedi (Jon Williams)
Who I think Will Win: Shape of Water (Alexandre Desplat)

Orig Song:
Want To Win: Stand Up for Something (Diane Warren & Common, Marshall)
Fine If They Win: This is Me (Bemj Pasek & Justin Paul, The Greatest Showman), Mighy River (Mary J. Blige, Mudbound)
Don't Want to Win: Mystery of Love (Sufjan Stevens; Call Me By Your Name)
Who I think Will Win: I have absolutely no clue.




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